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Stock Journal Beef Week | 2024
           Untapped beef market tipped to grow by 1324pc



           By SHAN GOODWIN
              F all the emerging green
              shoots in the story of
           OAustralian red meat
           exports, there is one growth
           forecast that would blow
           the milk out of your tea.
             In Indonesia, which is
           already Australia’s number
           one customer for live
           cattle exports and fifth
           largest customer for boxed
           meat, it is expected red
           meat consumption will
           increase by a whopping
           1324 per cent between
           2009 and 2050.
             Massive population
           growth combined with
           increased income for
           average consumers and
           a shift towards a more
           westernised diet is making
           this market, right on
           Australia’s doorstep, one
           of the most promising.
             Phenomenal food
           consumption growth
           across the board is
           projected for Indonesia
           but red meat leads the
           charge. By comparison,
           sugar consumption growth
           for the same period is
           expected to be 552pc and
           dairy 935pc.
             The forecasts, from
           ABARES, were discussed
           among other positives
           on the horizon for red
           meat exports at a webinar
           hosted by the Roundtable
           group of independent     Beef on sale in Indonesia, which is being forecast as a market of massive growth for Australian producers.
           agents.                  Picture supplied by MLA
             The point was made
           while the potential for   “And they are two      products so there is an    It now has a 45pc
           Australian beef exports  countries we now have   opportunity for Australia  market share of
           on the back of shrinking  a free trade agreement  to access an entirely new  Australian mutton
           United States supply has  with,” Mr Dalgleish said.  market for sheep meat.  exports, with the US
           been the headline act,    The United Nations’      “India has the potential  in second place and
           there were other markets  Food and Agriculture   to be a whole new China  Malaysia - also showing
           where phenomenal demand  Organisation is forecasting  for Australian sheep meat  strong growth - in third.
           growth was in the pipeline.  it’s unlikely India will want  exports.        In the US, chicken
             Episode 3 analyst Matt  to import beef or sheep  “And while cows        commands the top
           Dalgleish said India also  meat but Mr Dalgleish  are a sacred animal to  spot in terms of meat
           had the potential to rival -  disagrees, at least for  Hindus and therefore not  consumption, with pork
           even exceed - China’s    sheep meat.             eaten, there is a sizeable  and beef battling it out for
           phenomenal recent track   “They do have their own  Christian community of  second place, while lamb
           record on mutton imports  sheep flock but if we look  around 33 million people  is not as familiar a dish.
           from Australia.          at the demand for sheep  in India who eat beef.    But lamb is a real
             He said Indonesia and  meat that has come out of  “That’s the size of the  growth prospect in the US,
           India were somewhat      China as they’ve become  Australian market plus  Mr Dalgleish said.
           overlooked because the   wealthier and more attuned  another 8m.”           “The fact it’s already
           capacity in terms of how  to western diets, there is a  China’s intake of  such a big market for
           much red meat the average  precedent,” he said.  Australian mutton        Australian lamb, yet the
           person eats was not big.  “There will be people in  throughout 2023 was at  average US consumer
             But the sheer size of  India - in the food service  record levels and remained  doesn’t eat a lot of it, says
           the population, and the  and high-end restaurant  above the long-term 70pc  there is a lot of untapped
           emerging middle class in  trade - who will want to  ‘normal range’, Episode 3  opportunity still there,”
           particular, overrides that.  differentiate red meat  analysis shows.      he said.
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